Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.153143 1.402241 1.722714 2.179122 2.837821 3.800278 5.417169
2025-11-30 0.848632 1.130462 1.551093 2.276472 3.635090 6.493117 15.067189
2025-12-07 0.678486 0.953490 1.403108 2.285415 4.305431 10.294579 50.728211
2025-12-14 0.564345 0.820608 1.265428 2.220973 4.776749 15.216831 298.376851
2025-12-21 0.490097 0.732025 1.172655 2.194266 5.345798 23.716547 NaN
2025-12-28 0.456273 0.703541 1.180931 2.400825 6.998117 58.931664 NaN
2026-01-04 0.420769 0.664102 1.154839 2.508549 8.586317 175.252390 NaN
2026-01-11 0.384165 0.615863 1.097190 2.498570 9.698404 657.611622 NaN
2026-01-18 0.349532 0.566131 1.025058 2.411426 10.270738 4580.240070 NaN
2026-01-25 0.327605 0.538250 0.997095 2.458859 12.107035 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.311975 0.520716 0.989708 2.578368 15.304631 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.293019 0.493848 0.953847 2.574552 17.452159 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.271988 0.460872 0.898178 2.473662 18.173484 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.261270 0.448666 0.894362 2.594583 23.912577 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.248000 0.429448 0.868387 2.606057 28.335813 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.233466 0.406046 0.827271 2.528130 30.235908 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.221724 0.387770 0.797692 2.495866 34.053232 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.218376 0.387843 0.819794 2.746481 58.548615 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.212050 0.380464 0.819010 2.878005 90.578541 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.203173 0.366376 0.795896 2.865798 114.014497 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.193171 0.348910 0.760211 2.759401 119.394558 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.187102 0.340227 0.750453 2.817268 181.266272 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.182944 0.335703 0.753010 2.963544 398.350418 NaN NaN